Introduction to Probability [Coming Soon]

Develop, use, and evaluate probability models.

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In this lesson, students investigate chance processes and develop, use, and evaluate probability models.

Understand that the probability of a chance event is a number between 0 and 1 that expresses the likelihood of the event occurring.
Develop a probability model and use it to find probabilities of events. Compare probabilities from a model to observed frequencies; if the agreement is not good, explain possible sources of the discrepancy.
Find probabilities of compound events using organized lists, tables, tree diagrams, and simulation.

1. What is probability?
2. Chance experiment, outcomes and events
3. A random experiment
4. Quantifying likelihood of an event
5. What does it mean by “equally likely” outcomes?
6. Probability of an event with more than one outcome
1. Interpreting the meaning of probability - what does it mean by a probability of 1/2?
2. If we get three tails in a row, are we more likely to get a head?
3. Estimating probability when we do not know the entire sample space